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Lotte, ranked 1st with most comeback losses, what are the odds of advancing to 'fall baseball'?
24.07.2024 в 03:35 3Lotte Giants' closing pitcher Kim Won-joong. Dong-A Ilbo DB
'Attack on Titan' has disappeared without a trace.
Lotte, which is in 8th place in professional baseball, only had a half-game (3 wins and 3 losses) in 6 games last week.
Since June, when it once held the top spot, its winning percentage has been exactly 0.500 with 18 wins, 1 draw, and 18 losses as of the 21st.
And Lotte has scored 495 points and allowed 495 points in 91 games so far this season.
When the number of points and the number of points allowed are the same, the Pythagorean expected winning percentage is exactly 0.500.
However, the actual winning percentage is 0.443 (39 wins, 3 draws, 49 losses).
This phenomenon occurs because they win big when they win and lose by a narrow margin when they lose. Lotte has the highest team winning percentage (0.609) with 14 wins and 9 losses in games with a difference of 6 points or more so far this year, but is in last place with 7 wins and 14 losses (winning percentage of 0.333) in games with a difference of 1 point. It would be even stranger if such a team had fewer comeback losses. Lotte has lost a total of 25 games in which they were ahead at any point, which is also the most among the 10 teams.
The fact that there are many comeback losses means that the bullpen has failed to secure the win many times.
Lotte is tied for first with 16 blown saves, which are blown save opportunities. One of the reasons Lotte fails to 'crack down on the back door' is 'consecutive pitching'. Up until this day, Lotte pitchers have been on the mound for more than two consecutive days, 108 times, the most. Excluding Lotte (14 times), no team has had more than 10 instances of pitching for three consecutive days.
According to psodds.com, a site that calculates the probability of advancing to the postseason using the Monte Carlo simulation, Lotte has a 9.3% chance of advancing to the postseason this year.
However, this does not mean that they should give up their hopes for a 'fall baseball'.
According to the same site, LG had a postseason probability of only 5.9% on the same date in 2016, but they ended up finishing the regular season in 4th place.
Furthermore, Lotte's batting average in scoring position is 0.290 (2nd), showing that their batting lineup is still focused. If
Lotte wants to make '8-hit-all' (starting from August) a reality at least once, they need to create a turning point in the 3-game series this week, which will be held as 'El Lotte Lasico'.
?????; www.outlookindia.com/plugin-...op15-news-332207
'Attack on Titan' has disappeared without a trace.
Lotte, which is in 8th place in professional baseball, only had a half-game (3 wins and 3 losses) in 6 games last week.
Since June, when it once held the top spot, its winning percentage has been exactly 0.500 with 18 wins, 1 draw, and 18 losses as of the 21st.
And Lotte has scored 495 points and allowed 495 points in 91 games so far this season.
When the number of points and the number of points allowed are the same, the Pythagorean expected winning percentage is exactly 0.500.
However, the actual winning percentage is 0.443 (39 wins, 3 draws, 49 losses).
This phenomenon occurs because they win big when they win and lose by a narrow margin when they lose. Lotte has the highest team winning percentage (0.609) with 14 wins and 9 losses in games with a difference of 6 points or more so far this year, but is in last place with 7 wins and 14 losses (winning percentage of 0.333) in games with a difference of 1 point. It would be even stranger if such a team had fewer comeback losses. Lotte has lost a total of 25 games in which they were ahead at any point, which is also the most among the 10 teams.
The fact that there are many comeback losses means that the bullpen has failed to secure the win many times.
Lotte is tied for first with 16 blown saves, which are blown save opportunities. One of the reasons Lotte fails to 'crack down on the back door' is 'consecutive pitching'. Up until this day, Lotte pitchers have been on the mound for more than two consecutive days, 108 times, the most. Excluding Lotte (14 times), no team has had more than 10 instances of pitching for three consecutive days.
According to psodds.com, a site that calculates the probability of advancing to the postseason using the Monte Carlo simulation, Lotte has a 9.3% chance of advancing to the postseason this year.
However, this does not mean that they should give up their hopes for a 'fall baseball'.
According to the same site, LG had a postseason probability of only 5.9% on the same date in 2016, but they ended up finishing the regular season in 4th place.
Furthermore, Lotte's batting average in scoring position is 0.290 (2nd), showing that their batting lineup is still focused. If
Lotte wants to make '8-hit-all' (starting from August) a reality at least once, they need to create a turning point in the 3-game series this week, which will be held as 'El Lotte Lasico'.
?????; www.outlookindia.com/plugin-...op15-news-332207
